Author Topic: Grant National 2022  (Read 1184 times)

  • Offline matt5cott

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Grant National 2022
on: April 04, 2022, 21:51:02 PM



Well here we are again! First things first, I've noticed that E/W now seems to be one fifth odds rather than one quarter pretty much round the board, SOME bookies did this previous years but now they're all at at :roll: With this in mind I probably won't be bothering with anything under 25/1


(2021 thread here http://www.tekforums.net/general-discussion/grant-national-2021-covid-special-edition/ )

https://www.oddschecker.com/grand-national/winner <- odds table, remember generally the odds tumble as the event closes in.

Don't bet more than you can afford to lose. The national is quite literally a lottery with so many horses running, the bookies can be "generous" On this event because with such an enormous field and now reduced E/W payouts they still win regardless.


With all this in mind I'm presuming bet365 will do this offer again on Thursday...



There are 2 roads you can walk, one you can either use an exchange like betfair to lay against yourself and snaffle around £80 risk free, details are on this site here https://www.teamprofit.com/bet365-grand-national-offer-explained

The second road is the one I take, is less scientific and is actually still gambling, what I'll do is use the offer to place £250 of bets for £125, I end up backing around half the field :lol: last year I had 18 horses and had the winner and fifth, last year I didn't like to back more than 1/2 below 16/1 so I got lucky on the winner.

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Re: Grant National 2022
Reply #1 on: April 05, 2022, 10:03:46 AM
Good stuff, nice one getting the post in as I'd have completely forgotten about it I think otherwise! :lol:

Looks like I've missed the boat again on the Money Back Offer as I think my Bet365 account is probably still dead/deleted as I found last year, so I'll probably fire up the BetVictor account again.

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Re: Grant National 2022
Reply #2 on: April 05, 2022, 14:03:35 PM
Bet Placed Successfully Aintree - Ante Post Grand National - Non Runner Money Back (6 Places)

Single - Each Way
Fiddlerontheroof
Outright
Stake                     £10.00
Odds                      14/1
Potential Returns   £94.00
If Placed                  £19.00

Single - Each Way
Snow Leopardess
Outright
Stake                     £15.00
Odds                      8/1
Potential Returns   £87.00
If Placed                  £19.50

Single - Each Way
Minella Times
Outright
Stake                     £11.00
Odds                      12/1
Potential Returns   £90.20
If Placed                  £18.70

Single - Each Way
De Rasher Counter
Outright
Stake                     £6.00
Odds                      33/1
Potential Returns   £124.80
If Placed                  £22.80

Single - Each Way
Blaklion
Outright
Stake                     £8.00
Odds                      66/1
Potential Returns   £324.80
If Placed                  £56.80

Total Stake      £50.00
Potential Returns   £720.80

  • Offline matt5cott

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Re: Grant National 2022
Reply #3 on: April 07, 2022, 01:51:30 AM
The B365 deal came live at midnight as I expected, so here's a ridiculous £125 of tickets :lol:


Both £15 e/w

Kildisart 33/1
Santini  33/1

All £10 e/w

Dingo Dollar 50/1
Freewheelin Dylan 50/1
De Rasher Counter 40/1
Noble Yeats 28/1
Discorama 28/1
Farclas 22/1 Blaklion 50/1
Cloth Cap 22/1

All £5 e/w

Domaine De L’isle 66/1
Top Ville Ben 50/1
Caribean Boy 50/1 Long House Poet 16/1
Two For Gold 40/1
Good Boy Bobby 33/1


EDIT - Couple of non-runner refunds so I've updated the above accordingly.
Last Edit: April 07, 2022, 15:03:25 PM by matt5cott #187;

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Re: Grant National 2022
Reply #4 on: April 07, 2022, 08:42:48 AM
Amazing, good luck  :lol:

Next year I need to remember to setup a new B365 account well in advance.

  • Offline matt5cott

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Re: Grant National 2022
Reply #5 on: April 09, 2022, 17:43:09 PM
Betting sites will now all be crushed and 404 tastic so here's the result, MOST bookies do "Best odds guaranteed" So if your horse went off at a higher price they should automatically apply it to your bet.

1. Noble Yeats 50/1
2. Any second now 15-2
3. Delta Work 10/1
4. Santini 33/1
5. Fidlerontheroof
6. Longhouse poet
7. Freewheelin Dylan
8. Coko Beach
9. Escaria Ten
10. Romain De Senam

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Re: Grant National 2022
Reply #6 on: April 09, 2022, 18:12:26 PM
I got £19 back for Fiddlerontheroof, £31 down :lol: :rock:

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Re: Grant National 2022
Reply #7 on: April 09, 2022, 18:37:29 PM
1/4/6 returned £755.03

That'll do.

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Re: Grant National 2022
Reply #8 on: April 11, 2022, 10:00:40 AM
1/4/6 returned £755.03

That'll do.

Amazing, congrats! I'll have to not mess about next year and play more strategic

  • Offline matt5cott

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Re: Grant National 2022
Reply #9 on: April 11, 2022, 13:38:08 PM
For sure, you don't have to go ridiculous as I do, you can use the deal to put £100 on for your £50.

I'll probably use my above bet values as a template next year as that seemed about right on the number of horses  :yarr:


Realistically though I don't think I'll ever be able to top that result as it's pretty much as good as it could have went.
Last Edit: April 11, 2022, 13:39:43 PM by matt5cott #187;

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Re: Grant National 2022
Reply #10 on: April 12, 2022, 09:49:15 AM
I've made a fairly big win once since we starting posting every year, so statistically odds must be in my favour if I follow the trick above I would have thought. One or two horses extra/different would have done it.

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