Tekforums
Chat => General Discussion => Topic started by: matt5cott on April 04, 2022, 21:51:02 PM
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(http://www.clocked0ne.co.uk/john-smiths-grand-national.jpg)
Well here we are again! First things first, I've noticed that E/W now seems to be one fifth odds rather than one quarter pretty much round the board, SOME bookies did this previous years but now they're all at at :roll: With this in mind I probably won't be bothering with anything under 25/1
(2021 thread here http://www.tekforums.net/general-discussion/grant-national-2021-covid-special-edition/ )
https://www.oddschecker.com/grand-national/winner <- odds table, remember generally the odds tumble as the event closes in.
Don't bet more than you can afford to lose. The national is quite literally a lottery with so many horses running, the bookies can be "generous" On this event because with such an enormous field and now reduced E/W payouts they still win regardless.
With all this in mind I'm presuming bet365 will do this offer again on Thursday...
(https://external-content.duckduckgo.com/iu/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.freebets.co.uk%2Fwp-content%2Fuploads%2FScreenshot-2019-04-05-at-12.07.03.png&f=1&nofb=1)
There are 2 roads you can walk, one you can either use an exchange like betfair to lay against yourself and snaffle around £80 risk free, details are on this site here https://www.teamprofit.com/bet365-grand-national-offer-explained
The second road is the one I take, is less scientific and is actually still gambling, what I'll do is use the offer to place £250 of bets for £125, I end up backing around half the field :lol: last year I had 18 horses and had the winner and fifth, last year I didn't like to back more than 1/2 below 16/1 so I got lucky on the winner.
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Good stuff, nice one getting the post in as I'd have completely forgotten about it I think otherwise! :lol:
Looks like I've missed the boat again on the Money Back Offer as I think my Bet365 account is probably still dead/deleted as I found last year, so I'll probably fire up the BetVictor account again.
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Bet Placed Successfully Aintree - Ante Post Grand National - Non Runner Money Back (6 Places)
Single - Each Way
Fiddlerontheroof
Outright
Stake £10.00
Odds 14/1
Potential Returns £94.00
If Placed £19.00
Single - Each Way
Snow Leopardess
Outright
Stake £15.00
Odds 8/1
Potential Returns £87.00
If Placed £19.50
Single - Each Way
Minella Times
Outright
Stake £11.00
Odds 12/1
Potential Returns £90.20
If Placed £18.70
Single - Each Way
De Rasher Counter
Outright
Stake £6.00
Odds 33/1
Potential Returns £124.80
If Placed £22.80
Single - Each Way
Blaklion
Outright
Stake £8.00
Odds 66/1
Potential Returns £324.80
If Placed £56.80
Total Stake £50.00
Potential Returns £720.80
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The B365 deal came live at midnight as I expected, so here's a ridiculous £125 of tickets :lol:
Both £15 e/w
Kildisart 33/1
Santini 33/1
All £10 e/w
Dingo Dollar 50/1
Freewheelin Dylan 50/1
De Rasher Counter 40/1
Noble Yeats 28/1
Discorama 28/1
Farclas 22/1 Blaklion 50/1
Cloth Cap 22/1
All £5 e/w
Domaine De L’isle 66/1
Top Ville Ben 50/1
Caribean Boy 50/1 Long House Poet 16/1
Two For Gold 40/1
Good Boy Bobby 33/1
EDIT - Couple of non-runner refunds so I've updated the above accordingly.
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Amazing, good luck :lol:
Next year I need to remember to setup a new B365 account well in advance.
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Betting sites will now all be crushed and 404 tastic so here's the result, MOST bookies do "Best odds guaranteed" So if your horse went off at a higher price they should automatically apply it to your bet.
1. Noble Yeats 50/1
2. Any second now 15-2
3. Delta Work 10/1
4. Santini 33/1
5. Fidlerontheroof
6. Longhouse poet
7. Freewheelin Dylan
8. Coko Beach
9. Escaria Ten
10. Romain De Senam
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I got £19 back for Fiddlerontheroof, £31 down :lol: :rock:
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1/4/6 returned £755.03
That'll do.
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1/4/6 returned £755.03
That'll do.
Amazing, congrats! I'll have to not mess about next year and play more strategic
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For sure, you don't have to go ridiculous as I do, you can use the deal to put £100 on for your £50.
I'll probably use my above bet values as a template next year as that seemed about right on the number of horses :yarr:
Realistically though I don't think I'll ever be able to top that result as it's pretty much as good as it could have went.
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I've made a fairly big win once since we starting posting every year, so statistically odds must be in my favour if I follow the trick above I would have thought. One or two horses extra/different would have done it.
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Just a necrobump to remind anyone if they don't have an account and want this deal for 2023, you'll probably need to get one in the next few weeks.
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Nice one, I was just thinking about this the other day. Time to reactivate the old account :ptu:
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I don't currently have an account, so would it be worth waiting until I'm inside the 30 days to also use the sign-up bonus of Bet £10 & Get £50 in Free Bets?
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I don't currently have an account, so would it be worth waiting until I'm inside the 30 days to also use the sign-up bonus of Bet £10 & Get £50 in Free Bets?
Only felt like the other month the 2022 discussions and it is nearly a year already, WTF.