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Grant National 2022

Started by matt5cott, April 04, 2022, 21:51:02 PM

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matt5cott




Well here we are again! First things first, I've noticed that E/W now seems to be one fifth odds rather than one quarter pretty much round the board, SOME bookies did this previous years but now they're all at at :roll: With this in mind I probably won't be bothering with anything under 25/1


(2021 thread here http://www.tekforums.net/general-discussion/grant-national-2021-covid-special-edition/ )

https://www.oddschecker.com/grand-national/winner <- odds table, remember generally the odds tumble as the event closes in.

Don't bet more than you can afford to lose. The national is quite literally a lottery with so many horses running, the bookies can be "generous" On this event because with such an enormous field and now reduced E/W payouts they still win regardless.


With all this in mind I'm presuming bet365 will do this offer again on Thursday...



There are 2 roads you can walk, one you can either use an exchange like betfair to lay against yourself and snaffle around £80 risk free, details are on this site here https://www.teamprofit.com/bet365-grand-national-offer-explained

The second road is the one I take, is less scientific and is actually still gambling, what I'll do is use the offer to place £250 of bets for £125, I end up backing around half the field :lol: last year I had 18 horses and had the winner and fifth, last year I didn't like to back more than 1/2 below 16/1 so I got lucky on the winner.

Clock'd 0Ne

Good stuff, nice one getting the post in as I'd have completely forgotten about it I think otherwise! :lol:

Looks like I've missed the boat again on the Money Back Offer as I think my Bet365 account is probably still dead/deleted as I found last year, so I'll probably fire up the BetVictor account again.

Clock'd 0Ne

Bet Placed Successfully Aintree - Ante Post Grand National - Non Runner Money Back (6 Places)

Single - Each Way
Fiddlerontheroof
Outright
Stake                     £10.00
Odds                      14/1
Potential Returns   £94.00
If Placed                  £19.00

Single - Each Way
Snow Leopardess
Outright
Stake                     £15.00
Odds                      8/1
Potential Returns   £87.00
If Placed                  £19.50

Single - Each Way
Minella Times
Outright
Stake                     £11.00
Odds                      12/1
Potential Returns   £90.20
If Placed                  £18.70

Single - Each Way
De Rasher Counter
Outright
Stake                     £6.00
Odds                      33/1
Potential Returns   £124.80
If Placed                  £22.80

Single - Each Way
Blaklion
Outright
Stake                     £8.00
Odds                      66/1
Potential Returns   £324.80
If Placed                  £56.80


Total Stake      £50.00
Potential Returns   £720.80

matt5cott

#3
The B365 deal came live at midnight as I expected, so here's a ridiculous £125 of tickets :lol:


Both £15 e/w

Kildisart 33/1
Santini  33/1

All £10 e/w

Dingo Dollar 50/1
Freewheelin Dylan 50/1
De Rasher Counter 40/1
Noble Yeats 28/1
Discorama 28/1
Farclas 22/1 Blaklion 50/1
Cloth Cap 22/1

All £5 e/w

Domaine De L'isle 66/1
Top Ville Ben 50/1
Caribean Boy 50/1 Long House Poet 16/1
Two For Gold 40/1
Good Boy Bobby 33/1


EDIT - Couple of non-runner refunds so I've updated the above accordingly.

Clock'd 0Ne

Amazing, good luck  :lol:

Next year I need to remember to setup a new B365 account well in advance.

matt5cott

Betting sites will now all be crushed and 404 tastic so here's the result, MOST bookies do "Best odds guaranteed" So if your horse went off at a higher price they should automatically apply it to your bet.

1. Noble Yeats 50/1
2. Any second now 15-2
3. Delta Work 10/1
4. Santini 33/1
5. Fidlerontheroof
6. Longhouse poet
7. Freewheelin Dylan
8. Coko Beach
9. Escaria Ten
10. Romain De Senam

Clock'd 0Ne

I got £19 back for Fiddlerontheroof, £31 down :lol: :rock:

matt5cott

1/4/6 returned £755.03

That'll do.

Clock'd 0Ne

Quote from: matt5cott on April 09, 2022, 18:37:29 PM
1/4/6 returned £755.03

That'll do.

Amazing, congrats! I'll have to not mess about next year and play more strategic

matt5cott

#9
For sure, you don't have to go ridiculous as I do, you can use the deal to put £100 on for your £50.

I'll probably use my above bet values as a template next year as that seemed about right on the number of horses  :yarr:


Realistically though I don't think I'll ever be able to top that result as it's pretty much as good as it could have went.

Clock'd 0Ne

I've made a fairly big win once since we starting posting every year, so statistically odds must be in my favour if I follow the trick above I would have thought. One or two horses extra/different would have done it.

matt5cott

Just a necrobump to remind anyone if they don't have an account and want this deal for 2023, you'll probably need to get one in the next few weeks.

Clock'd 0Ne

Nice one, I was just thinking about this the other day. Time to reactivate the old account :ptu:

XEntity

I don't currently have an account, so would it be worth waiting until I'm inside the 30 days to also use the sign-up bonus of Bet £10 & Get £50 in Free Bets?


neXus

Quote from: XEntity on February 22, 2023, 17:44:20 PM
I don't currently have an account, so would it be worth waiting until I'm inside the 30 days to also use the sign-up bonus of Bet £10 & Get £50 in Free Bets?
Only felt like the other month the 2022 discussions and it is nearly a year already, WTF.