Author Topic: Shares...F@@K!  (Read 133496 times)

Re: Shares...F@@K!
Reply #75 on: August 02, 2012, 16:46:15 PM
I've bought in, hopefully it won't sink any further but its making my average buy price more respectable. 150k shares now. Me come Christmas: :santa:

Arent Cyan shares ~40p? You have £60k of Cyan shares? If that's the case I'd suggest diversifying your portfolio asap.
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  • Offline zpyder

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Re: Shares...F@@K!
Reply #76 on: August 02, 2012, 17:52:53 PM
More like 0.4p

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Re: Shares...F@@K!
Reply #77 on: August 02, 2012, 18:26:44 PM
I've bought in, hopefully it won't sink any further but its making my average buy price more respectable. 150k shares now. Me come Christmas: :santa:

Arent Cyan shares ~40p? You have £60k of Cyan shares? If that's the case I'd suggest diversifying your portfolio asap.

Everyone seems to make that mistake initially  ;D As zpyder pointed out, they are around 0.3--0.4p, so about £600 worth.

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Re: Shares...F@@K!
Reply #78 on: August 02, 2012, 18:33:41 PM
this whole adding to a losing position is all a bit dubious guys

I think it only looks dubious if you haven't followed the business at all the past few months. I've bought in at slightly the wrong times, but I was going to top up my shares anyway. In September we should know for sure whats what and hopefully see the price rise dramatically. The outlook is still very positive despite the volatility which seems typical with AIM. In fact now is probably a better time than there ever has been to buy.

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Re: Shares...F@@K!
Reply #79 on: August 02, 2012, 20:45:23 PM
well if you were planning to risk X amount and were planning to buy in in over a period of time for that amount then I guess that's a bit different

It was the idea of risking more money when a trade isn't going your way that I was objecting to in principle - i.e. you'd end up risking two or three times as much on trades which aren't going as planned compared with trades that quickly go into profit.

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Re: Shares...F@@K!
Reply #80 on: August 03, 2012, 00:18:40 AM
Yes, I couldn't agree more with you there Dave. I've been mulling over what I've put down very carefully first and only what I'm positive I can afford.

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Re: Shares...F@@K!
Reply #81 on: August 03, 2012, 11:51:13 AM
Averaging down is fair enough, there's a massive upside to CYAN that hasn't been realised yet should this TNEB contract go through as we all hope and expect, I do wish it would hurry up mind :lol:

Re: Shares...F@@K!
Reply #82 on: August 03, 2012, 13:43:29 PM
Averaging down is fair enough, there's a massive upside to CYAN that hasn't been realised yet should this TNEB contract go through as we all hope and expect, I do wish it would hurry up mind :lol:

plus all that electric was down last week - so people know, this chip is for smart meters & lots of electric is stolen in india, by people hooking themselves up to the grid, or bypassing meters, etc. - they hope this will put a stop to a lot of that as they can connect & look at any meter in real time - Cyan software on the chip & its cyan software that allows them to talk to the meters. The meters are made by other companies. In a way - this could be like 'soundblaster' was for PC Sound.

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Re: Shares...F@@K!
Reply #83 on: August 03, 2012, 20:38:13 PM
Averaging down is fair enough, there's a massive upside to CYAN that hasn't been realised yet should this TNEB contract go through as we all hope and expect, I do wish it would hurry up mind :lol:

If there's a massive upside then a relatively minor drop in price is irrelevant if the target is going to more than surpass your entry... the point is if you choose to risk X then chose to risk 2X... then 3X in situations where a stock doesn't go your way but risk only X in stocks where it does... you're increasing the chances of failure. Obv Nige has clarified that he intended to buy in over a period of time anyway so doesn't apply to what he's posted. Doubling down is not a good idea IMO - you're just increasing your risk/exposure when a position goes against you.

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Re: Shares...F@@K!
Reply #84 on: August 03, 2012, 21:05:14 PM
btw.. I don't trade in small caps (nor trade at all at the moment) it seems there is a lot of waiting around with these small caps... lots of it might do something etc.. balance sheet is crap with most of these companies and plenty of them have marketing/stories about why they're going to be the next big thing after oil is about to be discovered in X location or Y contract has been signed... its right around the corner...

One thing that strikes me about this is the Indian thing - they're corrupt as... contracts don't go to the best bidder/best in a trail but rather the best briber - which is why French Jets get picked over the Eurofighter etc.. I am wondering if one strategy for something like Cyan is just to watch it for any significant movement upwards due to an increase in volume just ahead of the estimated time for the contract to be announced (I don't know much about this but googling it says 45 -60 days after the trial started at beginning of July - so like mid to end of August). would be interesting to see if there are any previous AIM stocks that got some big movements upwards as a result of contracts in India and whether there was any significant movement/volume in the days prior... i.e. my idea would be assume Indians are corrupt, assume that *if* the contract does go to CYAN (might not if the bribe doesn't get paid to the right person) that there would be some insider trading - use the insider trading as an indicator that the contract will be signed get into a position some time between middle of August and the end on the basis of an increase in price/volume.... I dunno - just thinking aloud tbh.. wouldn't just do that blind either but its the sort of approach I'd look into and maybe look to see if it would have held up with any previous examples. I reckon there is a good chance that, if a contract is going to be signed which would result in a big increase in the share price, some Indians will be taking advantage of it - whether or not that would be reflected in any significant increase in price/volume traded immediately before the announcement - I'm not sure.

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Re: Shares...F@@K!
Reply #85 on: August 03, 2012, 23:50:25 PM
Good points there Dave. I don't think this is a big risk with CYAN as they are partnered to the only 2 companies that have currently passed the initial testing phase of the TNEB contract (although others are allowed to resubmit) and they are in bed with the majority of the others, there would have to be some serious stupidity going on for India to accept bribes from anyone else to go through though as the technology and SaaS CYAN are getting established with here is a global game changer.

Shares...F@@K!
Reply #86 on: August 04, 2012, 08:11:14 AM
Good points there Dave. I don't think this is a big risk with CYAN as they are partnered to the only 2 companies that have currently passed the initial testing phase of the TNEB contract (although others are allowed to resubmit) and they are in bed with the majority of the others, there would have to be some serious stupidity going on for India to accept bribes from anyone else to go through though as the technology and SaaS CYAN are getting established with here is a global game changer.

So not sure if its relevant but there are other companies which are a lot bigger than cyan who have a massive smart metering presence. My one also has a huge presence in India. What is cyan's unique selling point on this?

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Re: Shares...F@@K!
Reply #87 on: August 04, 2012, 11:08:07 AM
Are they part of the TNEB tenure? What field of smart metering?

The gist of it is these smart meters work on a wireless mesh network so can talk to each other and operate in such a way that they are tamper proof which is something none of the competitors have been able to achieve. The beauty of this is that they have costs down equivalent to sending a man out to check the meters by hand, so it is not expensive either. $8 billion a year is lost in India to electricity theft/tampering, so you can see why this is so important.

Shares...F@@K!
Reply #88 on: August 04, 2012, 13:18:41 PM
Are they part of the TNEB tenure? What field of smart metering?

The gist of it is these smart meters work on a wireless mesh network so can talk to each other and operate in such a way that they are tamper proof which is something none of the competitors have been able to achieve. The beauty of this is that they have costs down equivalent to sending a man out to check the meters by hand, so it is not expensive either. $8 billion a year is lost in India to electricity theft/tampering, so you can see why this is so important.

So they are the same smart meters currently widespread in America, the Netherlands, etc...

No idea what TNEB is, but cyan aren't the only horse in this race, in fact I'm sure of it. My company has been doing this since before 2007.

Just looked up some stuff, no they aren't competing in India for smart metering but they pretty much have the UK  and Europe wrapped up.
Last Edit: August 04, 2012, 13:25:57 PM by M3ta7h3ad #187;

Re: Shares...F@@K!
Reply #89 on: August 07, 2012, 12:21:10 PM
Meta, cyan has been working on this product for years. Its not about the metering side, its about the chip being smart and they can talk to each other & back to home base. The chip has been used in brazil for taxi meters, traffic lights, street lights & all sort of other things - taxi meters can record journeys, even when not the meter is not set to be on ie catching out drivers who switch off the meter after agreeing a fee. Street lights that can be turned on/off centrally & can report back if theres a problem like a blown bulb. Traffic lights that are smart enough to measure traffic volume  & manage the lights accordingly. R TNEB is the moneyball contract though. They arent bidding direct for the contract, they have learned that the money is having their chips in companies meters that are bidding. i think they had their chips in 8 out of the 10 companies who tendered for the work. TNEB is splitting the tender through to at least 3 companies, so they can still have negotiation leverage.

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